Guide to Ashes Fourth Test

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Cricket : Ashes Fourth Test


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I have to say that even though I've watched alot of cricket over the years, the last two test matches have really been something else. We've had it all so far, and the next test should be no different. England really must be kicking themselves after gaining a great position in the last test, with Brett Lee and Glenn McGrath holding out for the draw. Despite not winning the test, there is a new sense of confidence amongst the England team.

All the batsmen have contributed in some way, and in Freddie Flintoff, they have a genuine match winner. What brings me more optimism is how badly the Aussies have  adapted to the reverse swing of Simon Jones and Flintoff. It seems that Katich, and more importantly Adam Gilchrist have struggled to read the bowling.

The only thing that may thwart England is that rain is forecast at some point, and I'm sure there will be more than a few interruptions. There has been alot of money come in for the draw and the price has shortened for the stalemate. After originally going out at 2/1, the price has come in to shortish 13/8.

 England have a great run scoring rate on their side, scoring at over 4 runs an over so far, which is incredible for a Test Series against Australia, and this may prove vitally important if there are to be stoppages for rain. The English bowlers are also pretty nifty with the ball, taking a wicket every five overs. With all the money for the draw, it ay be best to pick England at a nice 13/5. Lets not forget, the Aussies will be without Glenn McGrath.


Recommendation: England @ 13/5

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If we turn our attention to the Series Top England Bat market, Marcus Trescothick looks a little too short at 7/4 currently.

He leads with 206 runs. Kevin Pietersen at a short 10/3 looks to have gone off the boil somewhat, after a blistering start to Test cricket, and he may have peaked too early.  The England skipper holds much more value at a nice 3/1. He scored 166 in the last test and I'm sure he will want to continue his form into Trent Bridge. Go with the captain.

Recommendation: Michael Vaughan @ 3/1