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As usual there is no clear-cut favourite and on
paper, it seems that any one of eight or nine sides have
a realistic chance of taking the top spot next May.
The Index finds it hard to dispute Norwich being tagged
favourites by most bookies, although they are on the
valueless side of things. Those tempted by Hills’ skinny
9-2 should think again.
Nigel Worthington’s side made a good fist of staying up
last season but not to the degree that they should be,
in most places, a full point shorter than Crystal
Palace, also relegated last term.
In Index terms, the pair are separated by just eight
which at this stage of the season amounts to nothing.
The fact that both sides left the Premiership with
positive Trend values is of interest, and they could
well make the early running if they continue where they
left off.
The same could also be said of Wolves who, following an
excellent run under Glenn Hoddle at the end of last
season, start the year with a strong upward Trend
figure.
Like Norwich and Palace, however, their price has
suffered through their rapid rise through the ranks and,
with it pitched at a similar level around 5-1/11-2, they
don’t appeal much either.
I’m much more tempted by some of the prices lower down
the Football League.
The first of these is Nottingham Forest’s odds to win
League 1. I looked at this some weeks ago and came to
the conclusion that, like other fallen giants who have
dropped this far down the league - such as Sheffield
Wednesday - Forest are a particularly poor bet to bounce
straight back up.
While there’s no doubting the poor quality of this
competition, backers looking to get on Gary Megson’s
side should be under no ifiusions as to how well the
former two-time European Cup holders will fit in with
their new surroundings.
They won just one of their final 11 games last term,
putting an end to their brief rally on Megson’s
appointment in January, and it’s hard to see why they
should be 4-1 to take the title with so many bookies.
If you want to have a punt on Forest, the call has to be
to lay them.
When looking at the clubs to be relegated from last
season’s League 1, I got my fingers burned in suggesting
that Torquay weren’t as bad as their league position at
the time suggested.
Was I chastened by this? Not a bit, I maintain that
Leroy Rosenior is onto something down at Plainmoor and,
as a consequence, beileve United are an excellent punt
at 16-1 with Skybet and the Tote for this year’s title.
Another good angle to take is in Totesport’s Top Seven
Finish market which allows you to take Rosenior’s boys
at 6-4 for a minimum of a Play-Off finish.
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