Free Bets Here: Betting Previews: Liverpool v Bolton

Sat 8th March

Liverpool v Bolton

Liverpool come into this game on the back of some dodgy form in the Premiership, having taken a battering against lowly Birmingham losing 2-1, but last week they won the Worthington Cup against Man Utd. Amazingly, they have drawn their last five home games, but confidence should now be at a season high. Michael Owen ended his goal drought after coming off the bench the week before against Birmingham, and he scored the second goal in the final last week.

Bolton, unlucky against Man Utd will be up for this as every point is now crucial for the survival and I think thay can give Liverpool a real fright. Away from home, they have drawn four out of their last six games, and I feel they can get another draw out of this. it will be tight, and Liverpool are not scoring much and conceding little, so I think a punt on the under 2.5 goals is a good bet here also.

BETTING TIP: UNDER 2.5 GOALS

about a fair coin toss each side of the bet would be priced at 54.5%, rather than its true chance of 50% (50+50 = 100%), and the book would show an overround of 109%.
One assumption that needs dispelling here is that despite having made a book of 109%, this doesn’t mean I’ll be making a 9% profit.
In fact, the real figure is slightly less at 8.33%, something worth bearing in mind for those thinking of getting involved with laying on the exchanges. This is calculated from finding 9% of the total 109% of the whole book.
Aside from probability and odds. the other mathematiics.

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