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Available Free bets on Newcastle and Warwick Horse
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Newcastle and Warwick Horse Racing
remind me how much speed Hawk Wing showed when winning the
Lockinge. All a matter of opinion but there is no way George
Washington can be discounted for the Derby because he won
the Phoenix so easily as Hawk Wing would have albeit less
impressively without Guineas winner Rock Of Gibraltar
against him. Connections have said he will get 1 mile this
year as would be expected of a prospective Derby winner.
Interesting season next year with this horse.
Hawk Wing and GW are just not comparable - look at their
breeding and look at the way they have been campaigned at
2yo. To start using HW's Lockinge win as a justification for
your Derby bet on GW is bizarre to say the least.
I am not advocating anyone to back him for the Derby but I
can see him showing a lot more stamina than most seem to
expect if given the opportunity. Hawk Wing was not an
obvious Derby horse when he ran in the Railway Stakes. We
will see if there are no outstanding middle distance horses
from the stable as this season he could easily show up as
Phoenix Stakes second Oratorio did.
On breeding he should just about get the derby trip as he is
stouter bred than the half brother Grandera who was top
class at 10f but never showed his best form at 12f.
Has a dosage profile similar to plenty of derby winners.
Still looks really green to me and I couldn't see him being
beaten this year. Lets hope they change their mind and run
him in the Dewhurst. George Washington is not a Derby type.
By a miler out of a dam by a 10-furlong horse. Grandera - by
Grand Lodge (a similar type to Danehill) - did not manage to
stay 12 furlongs, so no reason why GW would.
He may, however, line up if he wins the Guineas just in
case, i.e. Dubawi's failed attempt. Backing George
Washington now is like backing Rumplestiltskin for the 1000
Guineas, they might run but are unlikely to win. With
regards to dosage, didn't dosage suggest Damson would stay a
mile and a half? You know you're fighting a losing battle
when you start using the dosage index to justify a bet.
George Washington is not more stoutly bred than Grandera. GW
is by Danehill, who was better over sprint distances, while
Grandera is by Grand Lodge, who just about stayed 10f. Not
too difficult to understand.
Besides, they are totally different horses. Grandera didn't
even see a racecourse until mid-July and even then he hadn't
come to hand. He failed to win until September, by which
point George Washington has already won 3 races including a
Group 1. Furthermore, Grandera didn't show his best form
until he was 4-years-old. Grandera's full-brother, Ampelio,
has raced in autumn maidens over a mile, again suggesting he
is a backwards type.
The fact that George Washington was out over 5f in May
suggests he is much sharper and precocious than his brother
and is very much his sire's son. How many recent Derby
winners made their debut over 5f in May? Just Generous, and
he didn't show his best form until the autumn. GW looks to
have very little hope of staying the Derby trip and anyone
backing him for it now must be a total MUG, given that we
most probably haven't seen the Derby winner at this stage.
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