Surely George will have a massive chance in this race next year? The fact that Damson won the Pheonix Stakes last year (all us shrewd judges were on for the Guineas and Oaks at MASSIVE prices, but she didnt run in either) and went on to flop over a mile on a few occasions before returning to sprinting (and flopping) this year practically makes it a certainty that George will stay the 1m 6f trip. Oratorio came 2nd to Damson in the Pheonix which also (for some reason I dont remember and basically cant be a*sed to logically justify anything to you MUGS) will help George to stay the trip in Donny.
The fact that nothing in George Washingtons breeding suggests he will stay any further than 1m 2f is completely and utterly irrelevant as SHREWD form judges like me dont take pedigree's into account as they are for MUGS. The fact that his brother was a serial lunatic also isnt a worry as I tend to ignore things like this that jeopardise my MASSIVE ANTE POST PRICES.
My favourite bookmaker, Fantasy Dreamer Bookmakers, are going 40/1 for the last Classic of 2006 at the moment but I think ill hold fire for the time being. When he HACKS UP in the Derby I will then take the 40's that is certain to be available for 10k. My favourite bookmakers ALWAYS hold their prices for me after the horse in question wins a major race that would normally lead to the horse being slashed in price for the race in question. Why wouldn't they? That would be like charging 50p for a Mars bar one day and £5 for it the next day just because of some silly change in market conditions.. Unlikely! I am truly an ANTE POST LEJUND!
George Washington on the other hand gives absolutely no indication that he will stay the Derby trip and I would suggest that there is little chance that he would even be aimed at it. If he proves effective at a mile, he is likely to stay at that trip or be campaigned at a shorter distance. Coolmore could well have some decent middle distance sires coming on stream now, but they may not be that strong in the mile department (Giants Causeway excepted even though he is now in the States). I have my doubts about Rock of Gibraltar making it as a sire (given the distaff side of his pedigree) and Coolmore will be trying to afford some of the sons of Danehill the opportunity to excel at stud. I can see this happening at present as they are buying a few sons of Dansili to try and further enhance Danehill's reputation as a sire of sires. Campaigning George Washington at shorter trips looks the best method of promoting him as a future stallion, rather than sickening him by trying to preserve his stamina over longer distances. This could well bring out the latent quirks in his characters, which they will not want to advertise to potential breeders.
|