The Brendan Rodgers revolution has been rolling along slowly but surely with Liverpool’s new ethos of bringing through young talent rather than spending huge transfer fees, striking a positive chord with the fans.
A huge portion of the supporter base are very understanding that their sides new found love of a long term project will take time to work, and results have mirrored that. Liverpool have picked up just 10 points from a possible 27 and have only taken five points at Anfield, including some dismal showings against Reading last week, which they did win 1-0 and a disappointing 2-0 defeat to Arsenal.
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The reputation of Liverpool as a huge footballing giant always means they will be expected within the betting markets to beat more a less anyone at home, therefore the 4/7 (Ladbrokes) about a home win is no surprise.
The recent trends between the sides also suggest that a home win should be on the cards. The Reds have won 15 and lost none of the last 17 Premier League games at Anfield against Newcastle and the only goal that Newcastle have scored at Anfield in their last six Premier League visits was an own goal by Daniel Agger netted in this fixture last season, which ended in a convincing home win.
But last year’s fifth placed finishers Newcastle are a very strong side, and when you consider Liverpool come into this match on the back of a poor 3-1 home defeat at home to Rodgers’ old side Swansea on Wednesday, which eliminated then from the Capital One Cup – a competition the fans were hoping for a good run in – the odds-on price looks very skinny.
Liverpool, additionally, have only won three of their last 14 Premier League matches at Anfield. Newcastle, a 5/1 (Bet365) shot for victory over the Reds, have failed to hit the same levels of performance as last season as yet, but they have still racked up 13 points, although they are winless away from home, and currently lead the way in their Europa League group after a fantastic start.
They will be full of confidence this weekend after seeing off West Bromwich Albion at St James’ Park courtesy of a late goal from Papiss Cisse to win the game 2-1
Cisse and his strike partner Demba Ba have formed one of the most deadly pairings in the Premier League, but last weekend’s game at West Brom was the only time in which both have scored in the same game this season.
Looking at both respective players trends from last season, it seemed that when they start to get on the score sheet their confidence grows and they are likely to go on a run of scoring in consecutive games. With that in mind, it may be worth keeping an eye on Cisse and Ba in the first goalscoring markets.
They are both 9/1 (Bet365) to open the scoring on Sunday.
Liverpool’s goal threat is likely to come from the much maligned Luis Suarez, who has scored six goals already this term following notching twice against Everton in their 2-2 Merseyside Derby draw last weekend.
He is the market leader to score first this week around the 9/2 (Sportingbet) mark, but one thing to consider with Suarez is that only one of Suarez’s last nine Premier League goals has come at Anfield, which could turn your attentions elsewhere when assessing this market.
Other interesting options include the 17-year-old wonderkid Raheem Sterling (10/1 Bet365), who scored his first goal for the club against Reading, and Nuri Sahin (20/1), who continues to impress in the heart of the Liverpool midfield.